Hi. My friends and I are having the same problem.
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I did the skip/shortcut listed here Lowland Meadows sequence break (minor) . I’m not sure if that triggered the issue.
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Just before the guards tell us about the beast, we returned to Sacramenta. When we walk through the trunk, the cinematic doesn’t start.
As you suggested, we started Marin Woods, but we got stuck because the right gate is closed. In my opinion, if we can’t find the solution after 3+ hours, and the game is that linear, we shouldn’t be able to access that area until we finish another one.
We didn’t start Roots That Bind because we forgot to start Unnamed Passage (God Service)
Please, we don’t want to restart our realm.